Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
43.8% ( -0.97) | 24.36% ( 0.08) | 31.83% ( 0.88) |
Both teams to score 58.77% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.18% ( 0.01) | 43.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.79% ( 0.01) | 66.2% ( -0.01) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.85% ( -0.42) | 20.15% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.57% ( -0.67) | 52.42% ( 0.67) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( 0.56) | 26.4% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( 0.74) | 61.56% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |