MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 01:16:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
1 - 0
Karagumruk

Kara (84')
Mouandilmadji (16'), Antalyali (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Eysseric (24'), Keles (64'), Biraschi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-1 Samsunspor
Monday, December 25 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 0-3 Gaziantep
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Both teams have struggled for goals so far, and we are anticipating a low-scoring affair here. That said, we just about fancy the hosts to secure maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Samsunspor in this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
58.66% (0.712 0.71) 21.98% (-0.195 -0.19) 19.35% (-0.518 -0.52)
Both teams to score 53.93% (-0.229 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.75% (0.121 0.12)44.25% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37% (0.118 0.12)66.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (0.27 0.27)14.76% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57% (0.516 0.52)43% (-0.518 -0.52)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.27% (-0.473 -0.47)36.72% (0.47 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.476 -0.48)73.51% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 58.66%
    Fatih Karagumruk 19.35%
    Draw 21.98%
SamsunsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.33% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.03% (0.098 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 58.66%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.43% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.35%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Karagumruk

Samsunspor
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Fatih Karagumruk
16.7%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray15132042182441
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
5Goztepe SKGoztepe SK157442821725
6BesiktasBesiktas157442417725
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor156362026-621
9KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
10Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor156271622-620
11KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
12GaziantepGaziantep155372024-418
13SivassporSivasspor165382027-718
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor154561518-317
15TrabzonsporTrabzonspor153752322116
16KayserisporKayserispor153661527-1215
17Bodrumspor154291221-914
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-232


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!