Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
50.74% ( -0.12) | 24.74% ( 0.04) | 24.52% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.16% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.96% ( -0.08) | 50.04% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.98% ( -0.07) | 72.02% ( 0.07) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.28% ( -0.08) | 19.72% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.26% ( -0.13) | 51.74% ( 0.13) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.97% ( 0.03) | 35.03% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.23% ( 0.03) | 71.77% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 50.74% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |