Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
41.09% ( -0) | 27.13% | 31.78% |
Both teams to score 49.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.48% | 55.52% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.3% | 76.7% |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% | 26.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.2% | 61.8% ( -0) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.72% | 32.28% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.22% | 68.78% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |