Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 7pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Hamrun Spartans4 - 1Alashkert
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Hamrun Spartans and Alashkert FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alashkert 1-0 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, July 7 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 7 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Alashkert 1-0 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, July 7 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 7 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Alashkert FC win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamrun Spartans would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Alashkert FC |
47.46% ( -0) | 25.61% ( -0.02) | 26.92% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.64% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.22% ( 0.09) | 51.77% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.46% ( 0.08) | 73.54% ( -0.09) |
Hamrun Spartans Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% ( 0.03) | 21.82% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% ( 0.06) | 55.03% ( -0.06) |
Alashkert FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.05% ( 0.07) | 33.95% ( -0.07) |