Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Dunstable win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for AFC Sudbury had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Dunstable win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest AFC Sudbury win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Dunstable would win this match.