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FA Cup
Braintree Town
FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ironmongery Direct Stadium

Braintree
1 - 0
Bishop's Stortford

Effiong (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Braintree Town and Bishop's Stortford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braintree Town

All competitions
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Altrincham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Bishop's Stortford

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 3-2 Hereford
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braintree Town in this match.

Result
Braintree TownDrawBishop's Stortford
55.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 20.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.71% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)51.02% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)72.88% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)49.53% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Bishop's Stortford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (0.0040000000000013 0)75.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Braintree Town 55.12%
    Bishop's Stortford 20.82%
    Draw 24.05%
Braintree TownDrawBishop's Stortford
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 55.12%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.42%
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 20.82%

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