Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland United win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Hamworthy Recreation had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Hamworthy Recreation win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.