Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fafe had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Fafe win it was 1-2 (5.49%).
