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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | MK Dons |
42.66% | 24.86% | 32.49% |
Both teams to score 57.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.16% | 45.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.85% | 68.16% |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% | 21.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% | 54.57% |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% | 26.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% | 62.32% |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.66% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-1 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |