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Ivory Coast national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Nigeria national football team

Ivory Coast
0 - 1
Nigeria

FT(HT: 0-0)
Troost-Ekong (55' pen.)
Nwabali (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Ivory Coast and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ivory Coast 2-0 Guinea-Bissau
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Eq Guinea
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Ivory Coast 2-2 Nigeria

Ivory Coast head into this one with sky-high confidence following their solid display against Guinea-Bissau. However, we expect their defence to be put to the test on Thursday, given Nigeria's talented attacking unit led by Osimhen. We predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawNigeria
62.22% (-0.695 -0.7) 21.7% (0.276 0.28) 16.08% (0.417 0.42)
Both teams to score 48.49% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.71% (-0.407 -0.41)48.29% (0.404 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.57% (-0.373 -0.37)70.43% (0.36999999999999 0.37)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (-0.355 -0.36)14.96% (0.353 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.62% (-0.678 -0.68)43.38% (0.67599999999999 0.68)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.02% (0.306 0.31)42.98% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72% (0.256 0.26)79.28% (-0.258 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 62.21%
    Nigeria 16.08%
    Draw 21.69%
Ivory CoastDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 12.21% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.6% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.35% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.49% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 62.21%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.29% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 16.08%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Nigeria

Ivory Coast
55.4%
Draw
21.5%
Nigeria
23.1%
65
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2020 7.30pm
Friendlies 1
Nigeria
0-1
Ivory Coast

Troost-Ekong (27'), Ajayi (87')
Bensebaini (6')
Benrahma (44')
Feb 3, 2013 3pm
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