MX23RW : Saturday, November 16 01:44:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 5, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
3 - 2
Tigre

Salvio (56', 69'), Bou (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carrera (38' og.), Monzon (73')
Leizza (30'), Monzon (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-0 Lanus
Tuesday, July 30 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Deportivo Riestra
Monday, July 29 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 1-0 Tigre

Tigre have found a new level of performance in recent weeks, as it seems they have suddenly realised that their season is on the line. However, Lanus have been impressive at home this season and historically dominate this fixture on their own turf, which is why we are backing them to win narrowly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawTigre
53.21% (-1.57 -1.57) 25.83% (0.32 0.32) 20.96% (1.246 1.25)
Both teams to score 44.93% (0.814 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.55% (0.16399999999999 0.16)57.45% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75% (0.131 0.13)78.25% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (-0.587 -0.59)21.67% (0.585 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (-0.904 -0.9)54.81% (0.901 0.9)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (1.458 1.46)42.63% (-1.462 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (1.218 1.22)78.98% (-1.22 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 53.21%
    Tigre 20.96%
    Draw 25.82%
LanusDrawTigre
1-0 @ 14.12% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 9.24% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.93% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.264 0.26)
1-2 @ 5.14% (0.282 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.24 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 20.96%

How you voted: Lanus vs Tigre

Lanus
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Tigre
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Tigre
2-3
Lanus
Cardozo (14'), Nardelli (38' pen.)
Maroni (43'), Forclaz (74')
Moreno (30'), Bou (59'), Aguirre (63')
Aguirre (75'), Soler (85')
Oct 27, 2023 1am
Gameweek 10
Lanus
2-1
Tigre
Acosta (39'), Jose Caceres (78')
Perez (54'), Diaz (63'), Pena Biafore (90+4')
Luciatti (87')
Prieto (6'), Rojas (14'), Lopez (42'), Luciatti (63'), Menossi (74')
Apr 2, 2023 1.30am
Sep 3, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 17
Lanus
1-2
Tigre
Acosta (46')
Aude (47'), Boggio (58'), Aguirre (64')
Retegui (3'), Castro (87')
Ortega (29'), Menossi (61')
Mar 1, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 4
Lanus
0-0
Tigre
Demartini (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield22127335152043
2HuracanHuracan22119225111442
3Racing ClubRacing22114732211137
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2210662421336
7Atletico TucumanTucuman229672122-133
8Boca Juniors228772723431
9Deportivo Riestra228772323031
10IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
11BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
12EstudiantesEstudiantes227962523230
13Platense227961716130
14Instituto228592825329
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2261062324-128
17San Lorenzo227781819-128
18LanusLanus226972228-627
19TigreTigre226882528-326
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2275101822-426
21Rosario CentralRosario226792322125
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba226792328-525
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa226792330-725
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2257102028-822
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2256111529-1421
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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