Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 5, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Lanus3 - 2Tigre
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-0 Lanus
Tuesday, July 30 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, July 30 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Deportivo Riestra
Monday, July 29 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, July 29 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
We said: Lanus 1-0 Tigre
Tigre have found a new level of performance in recent weeks, as it seems they have suddenly realised that their season is on the line. However, Lanus have been impressive at home this season and historically dominate this fixture on their own turf, which is why we are backing them to win narrowly. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
Result | ||
Lanus | Draw | Tigre |
53.21% ( -1.57) | 25.83% ( 0.32) | 20.96% ( 1.25) |
Both teams to score 44.93% ( 0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.55% ( 0.16) | 57.45% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.75% ( 0.13) | 78.25% ( -0.13) |
Lanus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.33% ( -0.59) | 21.67% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.19% ( -0.9) | 54.81% ( 0.9) |
Tigre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.37% ( 1.46) | 42.63% ( -1.46) |