Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
32.69% ( -0.49) | 28.19% ( -0.04) | 39.11% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 46.86% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.76% ( 0.06) | 59.24% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.34% ( 0.05) | 79.65% ( -0.05) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.43% ( -0.31) | 33.57% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.79% ( -0.34) | 70.21% ( 0.33) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.53% ( 0.34) | 29.46% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% ( 0.42) | 65.47% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.58% Total : 39.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |