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National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Torquay United

Tonbridge Angels
4 - 1
Torquay Utd

Hinds (22'), Odokonyero (71', 76'), Shields (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ash (79')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-3 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawTorquay United
36.08% (-0.287 -0.29) 24.67% (0.038 0.04) 39.24% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 58.88% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)44.17% (0.206 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.206 -0.21)66.55% (0.2 0.2)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-0.254 -0.25)24.08% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (-0.361 -0.36)58.37% (0.354 0.35)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (0.028999999999996 0.03)22.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)55.96% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 36.08%
    Torquay United 39.24%
    Draw 24.66%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawTorquay United
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 36.08%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.03% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.035 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.24%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Torquay Utd
2-1
Tonbridge Angels
De Silva (10'), Ash (61')
Mampolo (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Weston-super-MareWeston17114231151637
2Truro CityTruro City18104429161334
3Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne1810442722534
4Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd188732216631
5Dorking WanderersDorking198653529630
6Farnborough TownFarnborough189363127430
7Worthing178542728-129
8Slough TownSlough1884633231028
9Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1776425141127
10Hampton & RichmondHampton177462417725
11Chippenham TownChippenham187472419525
12Chesham UnitedChesham157352722524
13Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels156632015524
14Maidstone UnitedMaidstone165832018223
15AFC HornchurchHornchurch176561617-123
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City175752825322
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.196492533-822
18Welling UnitedWelling United1861111934-1519
19Salisbury164572227-517
20Bath City1844101326-1316
21St Albans CitySt Albans City172691625-912
22Weymouth172691122-1112
23Aveley1732121730-1311
24Enfield Town1732121638-2211


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