National League South | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels2 - 1Truro City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Truro City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
59
Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
47
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
Result | ||
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Truro City |
48.46% ( 0.04) | 24.29% ( -0.01) | 27.24% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.98% ( 0.01) | 46.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.67% ( 0.01) | 68.32% ( -0.01) |
Tonbridge Angels Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.92% ( 0.02) | 19.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.32% ( 0.04) | 50.67% ( -0.04) |
Truro City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.33% ( -0.02) | 30.66% ( 0.02) |