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Arouca
Benfica
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Estoril
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Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Estoril

Guimaraes
3 - 2
Estoril

Silva (56'), Mendes (69'), Safira (90+3' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Silva (53'), Silva (54'), Silva (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Araujo (12'), Gomes (20')
Feltes (11'), Fernandes (53'), Carlos (87'), Vital (90+9')
Holsgrove (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 1-2 Estoril
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 0-1 Estoril Praia

Buoyed by their midweek cup victory, Estoril Praia will head into Sunday's games with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the bottom of the table. After a solid start to the campaign, Vitoria de Guimaraes appear to have run out of steam and we fancy the visitors scraping a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawEstoril Praia
51.77% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 25.4% (0.0040000000000013 0) 22.84% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.38% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (0.042000000000002 0.04)54.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (0.035 0.04)75.53% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)20.92% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)53.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (0.088999999999999 0.09)38.82% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (0.085000000000001 0.09)75.55% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.76%
    Estoril Praia 22.84%
    Draw 25.39%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 12.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 51.76%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.84%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Estoril

Vitoria de Guimaraes
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Estoril Praia
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8.30pm
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')
Jan 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Rochinha (61'), Estupinan (69', 90+3')
Borevkovic (43'), Soares (63'), Trmal (79'), Duarte (90+2')
Franco (29')
Ferraresi (25'), Thiago (53'), Gamboa (59')
Aug 13, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Estoril
0-0
Guimaraes
Africo (1'), Crespo (90+4')
Semedo (40'), Silva (79'), Rochinha (90+2')
Semedo (56')
Jan 21, 2018 8.15pm
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Hurtado (20'), Raphinha (48'), Heldon (93')
N'Clomande (27'), Wakaso (45'), Henrique (70'), Heldon (71')
Claro (45')
Fonseca (71'), Rodrigues (76')
Abner (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3399154251-936
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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