Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.