Reggiana

2 - 0

Frosinone

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggiana would win this match.