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Leicester logo
Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 4pm UK
King Power Stadium
Spurs logo

Leicester
2 - 4
Spurs

Vardy (18' pen., 52' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kane (41'), Schmeichel (76' og.), Bale (87', 90+6')
Bergwijn (58'), Winks (83')

Preview: Leicester City vs. Tottenham Hotspur - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Tottenham Hotspur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Leicester City will hope that a win over Tottenham Hotspur on Sunday afternoon is enough for them to finish inside the Premier League top four.

The Foxes are currently fifth in the table, level on points with fourth-placed Liverpool, while Tottenham occupy seventh spot and can still qualify for next season's Europa League.


Match preview

Leicester City celebrate Youri Tielemans's goal in the FA Cup final against Chelsea on May 15, 2021© Reuters

The 2020-21 season will forever be remembered by Leicester due to their FA Cup triumph, but there is no question that it would be a bitterly disappointing end to the campaign if they failed to claim a top-four spot.

The Foxes had, for long spells, looked certain of a Champions League position for next term, but they are now up against it heading into what is set to be a fascinating final day of Premier League action.

Brendan Rodgers's side are currently fifth in the table, level on points with fourth-placed Liverpool and just one point behind third-placed Chelsea, meaning that it is still all to play for.

A win for Liverpool over Crystal Palace would almost certainly be enough for the Reds to make the top four due to their superior goal difference, meaning that Leicester will need Jurgen Klopp's side to drop points to move above them, but Chelsea could drop out of the top four if they fail to overcome Aston Villa.

A point might yet be enough for Leicester, who lost 2-1 at Chelsea on Tuesday night, but the FA Cup winners will be desperate to pick up all three and see where that leaves them come 6pm on Sunday.

Tottenham Hotspur interim manager Ryan Mason on May 8, 2021© Reuters

Tottenham, as it stands, are in seventh position, which would bring a spot in the Europa Conference League, but a lot could change for the North London outfit on the final day of the season.

Indeed, Ryan Mason's side, who lost 2-1 at home to Aston Villa on Wednesday evening, can still finish sixth and sneak into the Europa League, although they would need to beat Leicester and hope that sixth-placed West Ham United lose at home to Southampton.

Spurs could realistically finish as low as ninth, with Everton and Arsenal potentially going above them, while Leeds United can mathematically still catch Mason's team, but it would take an incredible swing in goal difference for the Whites to move past the capital outfit.

Harry Kane could play his last game for Tottenham this weekend, with the England captain widely expected to leave the club during this summer's transfer window.

The search for a new manager is ongoing at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, but there is simply no downplaying the importance of this match for both sides.

Leicester City Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L

Leicester City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Tottenham Hotspur Premier League form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Tottenham Hotspur form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Leicester City's Jonny Evans scores their first goal on April 30, 2021© Reuters

Leicester will again be without the services of James Justin, Harvey Barnes and Cengiz Under this weekend, while Jonny Evans has been ruled out due to a troublesome foot issue.

The bulk of the side that started at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday will again take to the field here, but there could be a couple of changes, with Kelechi Iheanacho certain to return.

Iheanacho could replace Ayoze Perez, with James Maddison operating in the number 10 position, while Ricardo Pereira may take the place of Marc Albrighton as the right-sided wing-back in a 3-4-1-2 formation.

As for Tottenham, Ben Davies remains on the sidelines with a calf problem, while Japhet Tanganga will miss out with the leg injury that he picked up against Villa last time out.

Matt Doherty could take Tanganga's spot in the starting XI, while Gareth Bale may be handed a spot in the final third alongside Dele Alli, Son Heung-min and Kane.

Tanguy Ndombele and Harry Winks are options in the middle of the park, but Mason could decide to recall Giovani Lo Celso to feature alongside Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg.

Leicester City possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Castagne, Fofana, Soyuncu; Pereira, Ndidi, Tielemans, Thomas; Maddison; Iheanacho, Vardy

Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup:
Lloris; Doherty, Alderweireld, Dier, Reguilon; Lo Celso, Hojbjerg; Bale, Alli, Son; Kane


SM words green background

We say: Leicester City 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur

Leicester will be desperate to pick up the three points that could be enough to finish inside the top four, and we are expecting the Foxes to triumph this weekend. Spurs were disappointing against Villa last time out and will find it difficult to overcome Rodgers's side at the King Power Stadium.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Leicester vs Spurs

Leicester City
56.3%
Draw
14.9%
Tottenham Hotspur
28.7%
174
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 Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers with Nampalys Mendy after the match on May 7, 2021.
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