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[monks data]
Monaco
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Louis II
PSV

Monaco
0 - 0
PSV


Lucas (18'), Maripan (27')
FT

Boscagli (66')

Preview: Monaco vs. PSV Eindhoven - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Monaco and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Monaco play host to PSV Eindhoven on Thursday evening knowing that victory may be enough to book their place in the last 32 of the Europa League.

However, PSV can move to the top of Group B with all three points, and the result of this contest could prove pivotal come the end of the group stages.


Match preview

Monaco head coach Niko Kovac pictured on September 11, 2021© Reuters

At a time when Monaco are currently occupying 10th position in Ligue 1, head coach Nico Kovac will want to prioritise making quick progress up the standings.

Achieving that target could be helped by collecting a third win in Group B, a result which should be enough to earn a spot in the Europa League knockout stages.

On the back of just one defeat from nine games in all competitions, it had appeared that Monaco had turned a corner ahead of the weekend's clash with Brest.

However, the hosts, who were winless in 11 matches, were good value for their 2-0 triumph, and Kovac knows that progress on the continent might be required to keep him in a job.

Top goalscorer Wissam Ben Yedder has lost his way in the final third, the 32-year-old failing to score in his last four appearances.

Roger Schmidt has found himself under similar pressure at PSV, particularly during September when his side suffered defeats to Feyenoord and Willem II.

The recent 5-0 reverse at domestic rivals Ajax only increased the scrutiny of Schmidt's future, and the German was left relieved when his side battled back to beat FC Twente by a 5-2 scoreline at the weekend.

With PSV sitting just two points off top spot in the Eredivisie, it is perhaps unfair that Schmidt's performance as manager is regarded as nothing better than indifferent.

However, this season has felt like a story of missed opportunities, and another setback on Thursday would leave PSV facing the likelihood of dropping into the Europa Conference League.

Monaco Europa League form:
  • W
  • D
  • W

Monaco form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

PSV Eindhoven Europa League form:
  • D
  • W
  • L

PSV Eindhoven form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

PSV Eindhoven coach Roger Schmidt in the Europa League on February 18, 2021© Reuters

Kovac will likely make multiple changes from the side which lost out to Brest, including handing a recall to Myron Boadu.

Aleksandr Golovin, Ismail Jakobs and Youssouf Fofana will also feel like they are in line for an opportunity, though veteran midfielder Cesc Fabregas will again miss out through injury.

Schmidt could stick with the PSV front three which scored five times against Twente at the weekend - Yorbe Vertessen, Carlos Vinicius and Eran Zahavi.

However, alterations could be made in defensive and midfield areas, the likes of Philipp Mwene and Davy Propper both alternatives in those areas.

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Nubel; Aguilar, Maripan, Badiashile, Henrique; Martins, Tchouameni, Fofana, Diop; Volland, Boadu

PSV Eindhoven possible starting lineup:
Drommel; Mwene, Ramalho, Obispo, Max; Sangare, Propper, Gotze; Vertessen, Vinicius, Zahavi


SM words green background

We say: Monaco 1-1 PSV Eindhoven

Both teams will be confident of collecting a result on Thursday, a scenario which should make this an entertaining tussle. Nevertheless, we are not expecting many goals, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Monaco vs PSV

Monaco
55.5%
Draw
27.7%
PSV Eindhoven
16.8%
274
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Monaco's Aurelien Tchouameni pictured in August 2020
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