Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.