Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anstey Nomads win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Alvechurch had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anstey Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Alvechurch win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anstey Nomads would win this match.
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