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J1 League | Gameweek 34
Oct 19, 2024 at 6am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 1
Machida Zelvia

Hosoya (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Shimoda (90+5' pen.)
Shoji (77'), Nakashima (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Yokohama
Saturday, October 5 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-4 Kawasaki
Saturday, October 5 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawMachida Zelvia
38.98% (0.718 0.72) 28.15% (0.182 0.18) 32.88% (-0.9 -0.9)
Both teams to score 47.03% (-0.705 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.95% (-0.799 -0.8)59.05% (0.796 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.622 -0.62)79.51% (0.622 0.62)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)29.45% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55% (0.037999999999997 0.04)65.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (-1.031 -1.03)33.34% (1.028 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (-1.147 -1.15)69.96% (1.145 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 38.98%
    Machida Zelvia 32.87%
    Draw 28.14%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 12% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.232 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 38.98%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.292 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 10.78% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.87%

Head to Head
May 3, 2024 7am
Gameweek 11
Machida Zelvia
2-0
Reysol
Oh (9'), Araki (68')

Yamada (42'), Grot (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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