Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 31.23% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).