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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Manchester City logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Man City

Duran (16'), Rogers (65')
Cash (37'), Martinez (45+2'), McGinn (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Foden (90+3')
Lewis (47'), Gvardiol (84'), Grealish (87')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester City's horror run of form continues as they suffer a 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, December 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 31.23% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
31.23% (0.837 0.84) 22.58% (0.192 0.19) 46.19% (-1.026 -1.03)
Both teams to score 65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.49% (-0.485 -0.48)35.51% (0.488 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.44% (-0.541 -0.54)57.56% (0.544 0.54)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (0.251 0.25)22.72% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (0.37 0.37)56.39% (-0.366 -0.37)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.11% (-0.55 -0.55)15.89% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-1.026 -1.03)45.11% (1.03 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 31.23%
    Manchester City 46.19%
    Draw 22.58%
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.29% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 5.35% (0.168 0.17)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.23%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.71% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.55% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.89% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.19%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City

Aston Villa
36.8%
Draw
26.1%
Manchester City
37.1%
383
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Man City
4-1
Aston Villa
Rodri (11'), Foden (45+1', 62', 69')
Grealish (32')
Duran (20')
Luiz (38'), Chambers (90+4')
Dec 6, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
1-0
Man City
Bailey (74')
Watkins (60'), Kamara (87')

Stones (45'), Lewis (53')
Feb 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Man City
3-1
Aston Villa
Rodri (4'), Gundogan (39'), Mahrez (45+1' pen.)
Watkins (61')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aston Villa
1-1
Man City
Bailey (74')
Cash (26'), Digne (71')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 38
Man City
3-2
Aston Villa
Gundogan (76', 81'), Rodri (78')
Cash (37'), Coutinho (69')
Mings (49'), Nakamba (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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