Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.