Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 8.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-2 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
77.56% ( -0.11) | 14.07% ( 0.19) | 8.36% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.21% ( -1.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.95% ( -1.39) | 33.04% ( 1.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.22% ( -1.61) | 54.77% ( 1.61) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.09% ( -0.32) | 6.9% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.65% ( -0.87) | 25.35% ( 0.87) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.93% ( -1.22) | 46.07% ( 1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.22% ( -0.96) | 81.77% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
2-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.14) 6-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.46% Total : 77.55% | 1-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.9% Total : 14.07% | 1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 8.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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