Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 8.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-2 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.