Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Ethiopia0 - 3Guinea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea 4-1 Ethiopia
Saturday, October 12 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, October 12 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Ethiopia 1-3 Guinea
Buoyed by their dominant display on Friday, Guinea will return to the Ouattara Ebimpe Olympic Stadium with sky-high confidence as they look to move into the qualifying places. While we expect Ethiopia to go all out as they seek to restore their pride and kick-start their qualifying journey, Paquille's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.58%) and 1-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Guinea |
31.87% ( 0.02) | 29.77% ( -0.01) | 38.36% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.4% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
