Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.