We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Austin FC
LAFC still have plenty to play for this season in the league and with their upcoming cup final at the end of the month, and so the need to build momentum towards that is of paramount importance.
With that in mind and Austin's inconsistent form plaguing them all season, we expect the home side to just edge out what could be a tight affair.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.