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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
May 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Taylors Avenue

Carrick
3 - 6
Glenavon

Chapman (10', 80'), Gibson (49')
Forsythe (55'), Glendinning (58'), McMullan (65'), Gordon (77'), Ramsey (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hall (56', 88', 90+2' pen.), Campbell (57', 72'), Garrett (75')
Snoddy (58'), Campbell (58'), Fitzpatrick (60'), Singleton (69')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
29.5%23.3%47.2%
Both teams to score 61.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01%39.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64%62.36%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74%26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.98%61.02%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77%17.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.47%47.53%
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 29.5%
    Glenavon 47.2%
    Draw 23.3%
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 7.15%
1-0 @ 6.03%
2-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 29.5%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.48%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-1 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 6.93%
1-3 @ 5.47%
0-3 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 3.69%
1-4 @ 2.41%
0-4 @ 1.79%
2-4 @ 1.62%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 47.2%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Glenavon
1-1
Carrick
Coates (48')
Kelly (9')
Rodgers (30')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Carrick
3-4
Glenavon
Anderson (45+2'), Loughran (52' pen., 70')
Coates (3'), McCloskey (13'), Campbell (54'), O'Connor (56' pen.)
McNulty (59')
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Glenavon
1-1
Carrick
O'Connor (17')
Ward (50')
Loughran (50' pen.)
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Glenavon
1-0
Carrick
Larmour (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield23163443162751
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon25123103630639
3GlentoranGlentoran2311572820838
4PortadownPortadown2311482923637
5LarneLarne189542213932
6CliftonvilleCliftonville229492825331
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena22101112729-231
8CrusadersCrusaders2494112835-731
9ColeraineColeraine228683733430
10GlenavonGlenavon2477102432-828
11Carrick RangersCarrick2256112033-1321
12Loughgall2434172457-3313


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