Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.