Spezia

2 - 1

Frosinone

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.