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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 1
Carrick

McDaid (90+1')
Buchanan-Rolleston (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cushley (89' pen.)
Clucas (65'), Heatley (90+5'), Buchanan-Rolleston (90+2')
Glendinning (45+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 0-0 Glenavon
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
46.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 24.43%29.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.63% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28%19.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27%51.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 46.2%
    Carrick Rangers 29.37%
    Draw 24.43%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 11.47%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.37%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carrick
2-0
Glenavon
Allen (16'), Macuilaitis (32')
Stewart (42')

Carroll (76')
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Glenavon
1-2
Carrick
Teggart (40')
Wallace (53'), McGuckin (87')
Garrett (90+2')
Cushley (21' pen.), Allen (30')
Ward (85')
Teelan (90+3')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Carrick
0-2
Glenavon

McGuckin (65'), Cherry (90+3'), Crowe (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
Crowe (90+5')
Snoddy (45'), Campbell (70')
Wallace (59'), Snoddy (81')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Allen (38')
Forsythe (18'), Cushley (42')
Crowe (72')
Campbell (25', 42'), Quinn (67')
Rogers (19'), Baird (29'), Wallace (45'), Campbell (90')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Glenavon
2-1
Carrick
Prendergast (63'), Malone (81' pen.)
Wallace (45'), Snoddy (82'), Garrett (83'), Prendergast (90+1')
Purkis (75')
Crowe (12'), Watson (24'), Surgenor (80'), Glendinning (82')
Cherry (16')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield16112333141935
2CliftonvilleCliftonville168352216627
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon178272321226
5ColeraineColeraine177462822625
6PortadownPortadown167452317625
7GlentoranGlentoran177371816224
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick164391828-1015
11GlenavonGlenavon173681124-1315
12Loughgall1732121842-2411


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