Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Jul 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Shielfield Park
Berwick2 - 3St Mirren U21s
McNamara (34'), Devers (50')
Robinson (38'), Buchanan (51'), McGinley (90+4')
Robinson (38'), Buchanan (51'), McGinley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Berwick and St Mirren Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Berwick 1-2 Rangers U21s
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: St Mirren U21s 2-2 Albion Rovers (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Berwick win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for St Mirren Under-21s had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Berwick win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a St Mirren Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Berwick | Draw | St Mirren Under-21s |
60.58% ( 4.91) | 19.81% ( -0.52) | 19.61% ( -4.38) |
Both teams to score 62.17% ( -4.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.32% ( -3.36) | 33.68% ( 3.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.5% ( -3.93) | 55.5% ( 3.93) |
Berwick Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.14% ( 0.24) | 10.86% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.04% ( 0.53) | 34.96% ( -0.52) |
St Mirren Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( -5.58) | 30.27% ( 5.59) |