MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 16:08:14| >> :60:1740:1740:
Berwick Rangers
Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Jul 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Shielfield Park

Berwick
2 - 3
St Mirren U21s

McNamara (34'), Devers (50')
Robinson (38'), Buchanan (51'), McGinley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Sutherland (4'), Mooney (7'), McCormick (12')
Hunter (24'), Sutherland (88'), Farquhar (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Berwick and St Mirren Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Berwick 1-2 Rangers U21s
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3East Fife0nan
4Edinburgh0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stirling0nan
10Stranraer0nan
Last Game: St Mirren U21s 2-2 Albion Rovers (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3East Fife0nan
4Edinburgh0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stirling0nan
10Stranraer0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Berwick win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for St Mirren Under-21s had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Berwick win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a St Mirren Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
BerwickDrawSt Mirren Under-21s
60.58% (4.91 4.91) 19.81% (-0.524 -0.52) 19.61% (-4.38 -4.38)
Both teams to score 62.17% (-4.797 -4.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.32% (-3.36 -3.36)33.68% (3.365 3.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.5% (-3.929 -3.93)55.5% (3.933 3.93)
Berwick Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.14% (0.244 0.24)10.86% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.04% (0.53100000000001 0.53)34.96% (-0.525 -0.52)
St Mirren Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-5.583 -5.58)30.27% (5.589 5.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-7.225 -7.23)66.44% (7.23 7.23)
Score Analysis
    Berwick 60.58%
    St Mirren Under-21s 19.61%
    Draw 19.81%
BerwickDrawSt Mirren Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.421 0.42)
2-0 @ 8.1% (1.481 1.48)
1-0 @ 7.3% (1.276 1.28)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.378 0.38)
3-0 @ 6% (1.145 1.15)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.466 -0.47)
4-1 @ 3.98% (0.246 0.25)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.661 0.66)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.233 -0.23)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.126 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.306 0.31)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.27 -0.27)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 60.58%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.297 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.694 -0.69)
0-0 @ 3.29% (0.548 0.55)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.509 -0.51)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.81%
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.682 -0.68)
0-1 @ 3.93% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.333 -0.33)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.717 -0.72)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.673 -0.67)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.315 -0.32)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 19.61%

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