Carrarese

2 - 0

Sudtirol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.