Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.