Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
Sarmiento0 - 1Lanus
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Lanus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: C. Cordoba 3-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, February 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, February 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 3-0 Platense
Sunday, February 11 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, February 11 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.73%) and 1-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lanus in this match.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | Lanus |
31.08% ( 0.03) | 30.59% ( -0.26) | 38.34% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 40.19% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.8% ( 0.73) | 67.2% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.6% ( 0.49) | 85.4% ( -0.49) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.9% ( 0.44) | 39.1% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.19% ( 0.41) | 75.81% ( -0.41) |
Lanus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.98% ( 0.54) | 34.02% ( -0.54) |