Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 69.44%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 11.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.