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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Stuttgart

Mainz 05
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
32.51%24.25%43.24%
Both teams to score 59.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97%43.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57%65.43%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4%25.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51%60.49%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93%20.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69%52.3%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 32.51%
    Stuttgart 43.24%
    Draw 24.25%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.66%
1-0 @ 7%
2-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.51%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-1 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.83%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 43.24%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')
Aug 26, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mainz
1-0
Stuttgart
Ujah (76')
Holtmann (63')

Ascacibar (79'), Sosa (90')
Jan 20, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
3-2
Stuttgart
Muto (45', 54'), Holtmann (64')
de Jong (47'), Zentner (90')
Badstuber (19'), Ginczek (90')
Insua (12'), Ginczek (59'), Burnic (75'), Pavard (83')
Dec 19, 2017 5.30pm
Third Round
Mainz
3-1
Stuttgart
Berggreen (62'), Diallo (71'), Serdar (90')
Latza (38'), Quaison (54')
Gentner (42')
Beck (70')
Aug 26, 2017 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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