We said: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Shkupi
The magnitude of the occasion very nearly got the better of Shkupi in their second leg with Lincoln Red Imps, but they can at least take confidence from firing three past their counterparts in the first leg.
However, facing group-stage regulars Dinamo Zagreb is a different kettle of fish entirely, and the Croatian champions should put one foot firmly in the third round with an emphatic win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Shkupi had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Shkupi win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.