MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:33:51| >> :60:759:759:
Sheriff Tiraspol logo
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Malaya Sportivnaya Arena

Sheriff Tiraspol
5 - 1
BATE

Akpan Ankeye (12', 47'), Badolo (32'), Yansane (90+3', 90+8')
Apostolakis (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bane (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sheriff Tiraspol and BATE Borisov, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 4-1 Sheriff Tiraspol
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: BATE 3-5 Aris Limassol
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Champions League

We said: Sheriff Tiraspol 3-1 BATE Borisov

Sheriff are no strangers to these types of big-night encounters, and they will be expecting to secure a healthy advantage to take to Borisov Arena next week. However, BATE have shown that they carry an attacking threat, and we expect they will get something to show for their effort in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.

Result
Sheriff TiraspolDrawBATE Borisov
55.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 25.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 18.37% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 41.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)60.48% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)80.6% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87%55.13%
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.64% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)47.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)82.75% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sheriff Tiraspol 55.7%
    BATE Borisov 18.37%
    Draw 25.93%
Sheriff TiraspolDrawBATE Borisov
1-0 @ 15.74%
2-0 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 18.37%

How you voted: Loser Match 10 vs Loser Match 7

Loser Match 10
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Loser Match 7
0.0%
21
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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