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J1 League | Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 at 5am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
3 - 1
Machida Zelvia

Morooka (5'), Higuchi (16'), Suzuki (45+2')
Sekigawa (90')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Shimoda (23')
Lima (8'), Duke (90')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 0-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawMachida Zelvia
38.4% (1.196 1.2) 28.27% (0.661 0.66) 33.33% (-1.859 -1.86)
Both teams to score 46.77% (-2.195 -2.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.59% (-2.625 -2.63)59.41% (2.622 2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22% (-2.06 -2.06)79.78% (2.057 2.06)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)29.96% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (-0.697 -0.7)66.08% (0.694 0.69)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (-2.57 -2.57)33.21% (2.566 2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (-2.932 -2.93)69.82% (2.929 2.93)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 38.4%
    Machida Zelvia 33.32%
    Draw 28.27%
Kashima AntlersDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.97 0.97)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.475 0.48)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.4%
1-1 @ 13.22% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 9.95% (0.945 0.95)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.332 -0.33)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 10.96% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.428 -0.43)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.364 -0.36)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.249 -0.25)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.32%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 5am
Gameweek 3
Machida Zelvia
1-0
Kashima Antlers
Hirakawa (13')
Vasquez (22'), Shibato (27')

Nono (60')
rhs 2.0
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