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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Bradford City |
28.44% ( -0.95) | 26.95% ( -0.21) | 44.61% ( 1.16) |
Both teams to score 48.72% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.93% ( 0.35) | 56.06% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.86% ( 0.28) | 77.14% ( -0.28) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.96% ( -0.55) | 35.03% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.22% ( -0.58) | 71.78% ( 0.58) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.99% ( 0.74) | 25.01% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.33% ( 1.02) | 59.66% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.44% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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