MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 11:58:48| >> :120:59009:59009:
Accrington Stanley
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Wham Stadium
Bolton logo

Accrington
1 - 3
Bolton

Henderson (37')
Martin (51'), Woods (71'), O'Brien (74'), Hills (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jerome (15'), Morley (29' pen.), Dempsey (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Accrington Stanley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton have conceded in just two of their previous 10 away matches, and we think that they will produce another strong defensive performance to lay the platform for a victorious outing against their fourth-tier opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
30.69% (0.393 0.39) 24.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 44.35% (-0.384 -0.38)
Both teams to score 56.18% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (0.185 0.19)46.97% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (0.172 0.17)69.22% (-0.164 -0.16)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.358 0.36)28.7% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (0.441 0.44)64.52% (-0.434 -0.43)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)21.21% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9% (-0.151 -0.15)54.1% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 30.69%
    Bolton Wanderers 44.35%
    Draw 24.96%
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.018 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.74% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 30.69%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.35%

How you voted: Accrington vs Bolton

Accrington Stanley
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
80.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 22, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals
Accrington
0-2
Bolton
Kachunga (82'), Morley (84')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Accrington
2-3
Bolton
Whalley (8'), Johnston (48' og.)
Rodgers (56' og.), Lee (71'), Afolayan (75')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Bolton
3-1
Accrington
Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Accrington
1-0
Bolton
Leigh (20')
Amankwah (45'), Coyle (50'), Savin (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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