MX23RW : Friday, November 22 06:12:26| >> :600:309325:309325:
Accrington Stanley
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Wham Stadium
Bolton logo

Accrington
1 - 3
Bolton

Henderson (37')
Martin (51'), Woods (71'), O'Brien (74'), Hills (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jerome (15'), Morley (29' pen.), Dempsey (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Accrington Stanley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Salford City
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Luton 0-0 Bolton
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Bolton Wanderers

 Bolton have conceded in just two of their previous 10 away matches, and we think that they will produce another strong defensive performance to lay the platform for a victorious outing against their fourth-tier opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
30.69% (0.393 0.39) 24.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 44.35% (-0.384 -0.38)
Both teams to score 56.18% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (0.185 0.19)46.97% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (0.172 0.17)69.22% (-0.164 -0.16)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.358 0.36)28.7% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (0.441 0.44)64.52% (-0.434 -0.43)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)21.21% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9% (-0.151 -0.15)54.1% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 30.69%
    Bolton Wanderers 44.35%
    Draw 24.96%
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.018 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.74% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 30.69%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.35%

How you voted: Accrington vs Bolton

Accrington Stanley
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
80.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Bolton
0-1
Accrington
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> Preview
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Bolton
Kachunga (82'), Morley (84')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Accrington
2-3
Bolton
Whalley (8'), Johnston (48' og.)
Rodgers (56' og.), Lee (71'), Afolayan (75')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
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Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
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Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
> Preview
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Gameweek 22
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Bolton
Leigh (20')
Amankwah (45'), Coyle (50'), Savin (63')
> Preview
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