Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
25.18% ( 0.02) | 26.19% ( 0.02) | 48.62% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.47% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.81% ( -0.06) | 55.19% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.57% ( -0.05) | 76.43% ( 0.05) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% ( -0.02) | 37.27% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.95% ( -0.02) | 74.05% ( 0.02) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.27% ( -0.04) | 22.73% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% ( -0.06) | 56.4% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.18% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 48.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |