Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 62.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.