MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 03:44:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 17
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
3 - 0
Crusaders

McGuckin (11'), Heatley (14', 60')
Heatley (27'), Macuilaitis (65'), Crowe (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cushley (34'), Blaney (45'), Weir (62')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Loughgall
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
17.24% (3.741 3.74) 21.62% (1.578 1.58) 61.14% (-5.313 -5.31)
Both teams to score 51.18% (3.762 3.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05% (0.425 0.42)45.96% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (0.401 0.4)68.26% (-0.395 -0.39)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88% (5.342 5.34)40.12% (-5.336 -5.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24% (4.539 4.54)76.77% (-4.533 -4.53)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47% (-1.47 -1.47)14.54% (1.476 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43% (-2.921 -2.92)42.57% (2.926 2.93)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 17.24%
    Crusaders 61.13%
    Draw 21.61%
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 5.33% (0.646 0.65)
2-1 @ 4.69% (0.935 0.94)
2-0 @ 2.43% (0.587 0.59)
3-1 @ 1.43% (0.441 0.44)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.373 0.37)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 17.24%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.743 0.74)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.701 0.7)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.61%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.84 -0.84)
0-2 @ 10.84% (-1.46 -1.46)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.208 0.21)
0-3 @ 6.97% (-1.375 -1.38)
1-3 @ 6.37% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-4 @ 3.36% (-0.886 -0.89)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.279 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.313 0.31)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.082 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.3% (-0.433 -0.43)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.179 -0.18)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 61.13%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Larmour (64'), Offord (65')
Buchanan-Rolleston (26'), Glendinning (45+2'), Jewitt-White (81')
Allen (7')
Stewart (49'), Heatley (77'), Stewart (78'), Heatley (90+6')
May 1, 2024 7.45pm
Crusaders
3-1
Carrick
Lecky (7', 54'), Nixon (45+1')
Lecky (76')
Purkis (45+3')
Cushley (9'), Watson (56')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Crusaders
2-0
Carrick
Heatley (49'), Owens (65')
Clarke (45')

Forsythe (42'), Mitchell (62')
Forsythe (60')
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Carrick
0-1
Crusaders

McGuckin (76'), Macuilaitis (81'), Glendinning (89')
Lowry (45')
Robinson (58'), Heatley (87'), Joe Burns (89'), Larmour (90')
Aug 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Crusaders
9-0
Carrick
Heatley (11'), Kennedy (21', 25' pen., 28', 40'), Lowry (47'), Joe Burns (54'), Callacher (63'), Teelan (79')
Clarke (74')

Crowe (68'), Andrews (86')
Cherry (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield23163443162751
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon25123103630639
3GlentoranGlentoran2311572820838
4PortadownPortadown2311482923637
5LarneLarne189542213932
6CliftonvilleCliftonville229492825331
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena22101112729-231
8CrusadersCrusaders2494112835-731
9ColeraineColeraine228683733430
10GlenavonGlenavon2477102432-828
11Carrick RangersCarrick2256112033-1321
12Loughgall2434172457-3313


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