MX23RW : Monday, November 18 04:16:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 17
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
3 - 0
Crusaders

McGuckin (11'), Heatley (14', 60')
Heatley (27'), Macuilaitis (65'), Crowe (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cushley (34'), Blaney (45'), Weir (62')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Loughgall
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
17.24% (3.741 3.74) 21.62% (1.578 1.58) 61.14% (-5.313 -5.31)
Both teams to score 51.18% (3.762 3.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05% (0.425 0.42)45.96% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (0.401 0.4)68.26% (-0.395 -0.39)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88% (5.342 5.34)40.12% (-5.336 -5.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24% (4.539 4.54)76.77% (-4.533 -4.53)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47% (-1.47 -1.47)14.54% (1.476 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43% (-2.921 -2.92)42.57% (2.926 2.93)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 17.24%
    Crusaders 61.13%
    Draw 21.61%
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 5.33% (0.646 0.65)
2-1 @ 4.69% (0.935 0.94)
2-0 @ 2.43% (0.587 0.59)
3-1 @ 1.43% (0.441 0.44)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.373 0.37)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 17.24%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.743 0.74)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.701 0.7)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.61%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.84 -0.84)
0-2 @ 10.84% (-1.46 -1.46)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.208 0.21)
0-3 @ 6.97% (-1.375 -1.38)
1-3 @ 6.37% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-4 @ 3.36% (-0.886 -0.89)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.279 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.313 0.31)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.082 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.3% (-0.433 -0.43)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.179 -0.18)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 61.13%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Larmour (64'), Offord (65')
Buchanan-Rolleston (26'), Glendinning (45+2'), Jewitt-White (81')
Allen (7')
Stewart (49'), Heatley (77'), Stewart (78'), Heatley (90+6')
May 1, 2024 7.45pm
Crusaders
3-1
Carrick
Lecky (7', 54'), Nixon (45+1')
Lecky (76')
Purkis (45+3')
Cushley (9'), Watson (56')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Crusaders
2-0
Carrick
Heatley (49'), Owens (65')
Clarke (45')

Forsythe (42'), Mitchell (62')
Forsythe (60')
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Carrick
0-1
Crusaders

McGuckin (76'), Macuilaitis (81'), Glendinning (89')
Lowry (45')
Robinson (58'), Heatley (87'), Joe Burns (89'), Larmour (90')
Aug 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Crusaders
9-0
Carrick
Heatley (11'), Kennedy (21', 25' pen., 28', 40'), Lowry (47'), Joe Burns (54'), Callacher (63'), Teelan (79')
Clarke (74')

Crowe (68'), Andrews (86')
Cherry (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield16112333141935
2CliftonvilleCliftonville168352216627
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon178272321226
5ColeraineColeraine177462822625
6PortadownPortadown167452317625
7GlentoranGlentoran177371816224
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick164391828-1015
11GlenavonGlenavon173681124-1315
12Loughgall1732121842-2411
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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