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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Cavani (61')
Fernandez (40'), Lema (65'), Blanco (71'), Fernandez (90+4'), Fernandez (90+3')
Cavani (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomez (90+4')
Ordonez (90+3'), Caseres (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Tucuman
Sunday, June 2 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Velez Sarsfield

With the form of each team suggesting that they are evenly matched at this stage, we anticipate a closely-fought contest at La Bombonera. However, home advantage could prove key for Boca, who may feel more inclined to go on the offensive in a tight fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
54.99% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 26.16% (-0.283 -0.28) 18.84% (0.324 0.32)
Both teams to score 41.25% (1.124 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.28% (1.219 1.22)60.72% (-1.222 -1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.22% (0.908 0.91)80.78% (-0.911 -0.91)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (0.49799999999999 0.5)22.28% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (0.745 0.74)55.73% (-0.747 -0.75)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.07% (1.113 1.11)46.92% (-1.115 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.57% (0.832 0.83)82.43% (-0.833 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 54.98%
    Velez Sarsfield 18.84%
    Draw 26.15%
Boca JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.69% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-0 @ 11.78% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.134 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 54.98%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.45% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-2 @ 4.49% (0.142 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.84%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield

Boca Juniors
85.2%
Draw
14.8%
Velez Sarsfield
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Oct 2, 2022 10pm
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
Oct 25, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Boca Juniors
Mancuello (39'), Tarragona (90')
Bouzat (59'), de los Santos (77')

Rojo (69')
Mar 8, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Velez Sarsfield
1-7
Boca Juniors
Martin Lucero (26')
Amor (19'), Galdames (57')
Cardona (21'), Villa (31', 53'), Maroni (55', 74'), Tevez (62'), Campuzano (89')
Capaldo (10'), Zambrano (25'), Campuzano (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield22127335152043
2HuracanHuracan22119225111442
3Racing ClubRacing22114732211137
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2210662421336
7Atletico TucumanTucuman229672122-133
8Boca Juniors228772723431
9Deportivo Riestra228772323031
10IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
11BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
12EstudiantesEstudiantes227962523230
13Platense227961716130
14Instituto228592825329
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2261062324-128
17San Lorenzo227781819-128
18LanusLanus226972228-627
19TigreTigre226882528-326
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2275101822-426
21Rosario CentralRosario226792322125
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba226792328-525
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa226792330-725
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2257102028-822
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2256111529-1421
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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