Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.
0.25) 
-0.13) 
