MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 10:37:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Basel

Lugano
2 - 0
Basel

Hajdari (44'), Steffen (69')
Steffen (41'), Macek (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Drager (55'), Kacuri (55'), Augustin (64'), Kayombo (66'), Frei (67')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Last Game: SLO 1-3 Lugano
Saturday, March 30 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Basel

All competitions
Last Game: Basel 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, March 30 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Basel had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawBasel
43.35% (-0.719 -0.72) 23.92% (0.235 0.23) 32.73% (0.482 0.48)
Both teams to score 60.72% (-0.654 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.58% (-0.941 -0.94)41.42% (0.939 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.18% (-0.959 -0.96)63.82% (0.956 0.96)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.63% (-0.69 -0.69)19.36% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (-1.142 -1.14)51.15% (1.139 1.14)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)24.7% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-0.233 -0.23)59.23% (0.23 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 43.35%
    Basel 32.73%
    Draw 23.92%
LuganoDrawBasel
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.85% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 43.35%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.2 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.087 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.73%

How you voted: Lugano vs Basel

Lugano
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Basel
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Basel
0-1
Lugano

Vouilloz (64')
Steffen (69')
Valenzuela (72'), Bislimi (81'), Celar (89')
Dec 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Lugano
1-3
Basel
Macek (54')
Macek (25'), Steffen (49'), Vladi (77'), Saipi (89')
Dubasin (29'), Jovanovic (61'), Beney (90+2')
Schmid (18'), Ruegg (21'), Salvi (86'), Veiga (89'), Avdullahu (89'), Avdullahu (89')
May 21, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 34
Basel
1-1
Lugano
Zeqiri (34')
Zeqiri (38'), Males (62'), Calafiori (63'), Frei (90+4'), Vogel (90+7')
Vogel (0'), Calafiori (90+4')
Steffen (84')
Hajrizi (19'), Mahou (89'), Steffen (89'), Saipi (90+4')
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Lugano
2-2
Basel
Celar (33'), Aliseda (38')
Males (74'), Lang (83')
Oct 9, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
Lugano
1-0
Basel
Mahou (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano189453024631
2Basel1893640192130
3Lausanne SportLausanne189363122930
4Luzern188553330329
5Servette188552927229
6FC Zurich187652425-127
7Sion187562521426
8St GallenSt Gallen186752923625
9Young Boys186572529-423
10Yverdon Sport184591628-1217
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper183691727-1015
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1834111640-2413
> Swiss Super League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!